CFL Power Ranking based on FFF ranking formulas and system. Enjoy..
These come out every 4 weeks.
Best possible score: 70 pts
Worst possible score: - 61 pts
Explanation of the ratings:
For those newcomers to the CFL and unfamiliar with the CFL Power Ranking/FFF rankings, these are based strictly on a formula using stats pulled straight from the game, eg wins and losses, Points for and against, turnover ratio, in-game power rankings and a bastardised strength of schedule. I only input the data into my spreadsheet, ie I have no power over the outcome.
They are relative rankings, basically comparing your team stats to the rest of the league. They are not THE definitive rankings, at the end of the season the best team is winner of the CFL Bowl, not the team ranked #1 in the rankings. The main point is just to spark off discussion and add to the league in general.
1/3 last week brings us to 3/6 on the season though BAL probably should've won... DVY's Donaldson really is unmatched in the league but this Buckley character might have to go. How can you waste prime Donaldson like this?
Week 4 has some crummy matchups for football fans but some interesting lines for degenerate gamblers.
Tucson (-3) at Oregon - We don't talk about TUC much here but since they're favorites this week I guess I gotta....
A surprising trade last week resulted in the top QB prospect of 2061 heading to San Antonio and with that goes the last reason any TUC fan has to tune in. I was curious to see how the rookie would play and now I have to buy CFL Sunday Ticket to get any Stingers games. Anyway...
The Toros started the season with some real close games against CLE and LVS-- QB Graham played pretty well and seemed to have enough time to find his receivers. Rookie WR McDonald tops the target share as opponents focus on shutting down WRs Yaffin and Nikolaus, but I don't see anything out of the young man that would put him above those two in the long run. That being said, their showing against MIA looks like regression to the mean and there's no way they should be favored against any team in the CFL.
ORE's latest loss to an unimpressive SCU has fans calling for GM mac88's head but I think this is a good bounceback spot. QB Hitchcock sat last week with a sprained knee and looks likely to return this week. WR Spradling looked visibly frustrated with rookie QB Gaines and whatever's limiting his performance will need fixing, but OC Givens has the pieces to make it work.
The Bandits getting points against TUC is a no brainer for me. The biggest mismatch to follow will be TE Weikel-- the Toros have given up 25 catches and 228 yards to opposing tight ends. If they follow MIA's formula this will be a blowout. ORE wins bigly: 30-10.
Texas (-1) at Denver - The Dynomite were probably expecting QB Woodard to come in and take them to the next level, but since trading for the CFL's 2056 MVP they've been one of the worst offenses in the league. A goose egg at home against SEA is completely unacceptable and it's hard not to point fingers at the 33 year old. It looks like he isn't quite comfortable with his receivers other than WR Sprinkle, and until they gel RB Eagleton should carry the load.
At least their opponents, the Inferno, aren't doing much better. Any optimism they had after a win at Atlanta were summarily dashed by SHR and HON. QB Womble was simply unplayable when defenses were able to funnel the ball to WR Sheldon. RBs Boddy and Parker were the lone bright spots in these two games and hopefully GM BazookaJohnny recognizes that and adjusts going foward. I think TEX can dominate time of possession and hide their abysmal secondary and win games against stronger teams but I guess I have to see it happen first.
These are two teams that could and should be doing a lot better. With some adjustments, both see trips to the postseason. But here and now with money on the line, I think DEN is the team to back. RB Eagleton rights the ship this week: 24-20.
Honolulu (-3) at Alaska - Just place your bets on the other two games and flip over to this one-- a revitalized QB England and Sharks team is putting on a clinic through three weeks with the 10-year vet posting career high numbers.
While we saw a bit of the potential in the preseason, it's safe to say that QB England's play has exceeded expectations. Some of that can be attributed to opponents looking to contain RB Gaiter and the run game, but TE Philips has emerged as a reliable outlet as WRs Keith and McCreadie stretch the field. Everyone expected him to be able to make the same kind of plays as QB Fryday downfield but his mobility surprised me. It looks like the Sharks are well equipped to make another go after last season's tragic accident cut the dream short.
The Kodiaks will surely be disappointed with their performance at Fargo last week-- they squandered their defense's 4 interception performance with historically bad play on offense. RB Fiste had nowhere to go and the Sodbusters forced QB Marischen to look away from his star receivers with excellent coverage schemes. We all know how good he is but he has definitely looked mortal these last few seasons.
As with the other games on the docket, I like the home team catching the points. ALA is a perennial contender and QB Marischen can often magick wins out of thin air. Their defense appears to be much improved and should be able to force QB England to make difficult decisions. It could be close, but give me the Kodiaks this week in what is likely to be a high scoring affair: 34-30.
2/3 last week, really surprised by BCI dropping the ball there. It feels like they were a bit too quick to abandon the run when OMA got off to a hot start, but I can understand why they'd want to get the ball to WRs Wagner and Brown. Newcomer DT Pravato looked decent in his first start for the Big Green and could be worth the price.
On to week 3!
New Orleans at Iowa City (-1) - This isn't a game that should excite you, but from a betting perspective I think there's good value here.
The Voodoos are a young team built for the future. The week 1 stomp against SAO was nice, but I see them as a 5 win team tops. QB Hughes is likely to start and with 6 other rookies and 3 sophomores also getting the nod, the vets on IWC will get a sorely needed confidence booster.
Just place the bet and watch something else: IWC takes care of business at home 21-14.
Cleveland (-1) at Baltimore - The Bombers pulled out their first winning season since 2050 under GM FakeJasonGarrett but the surprise sabbatical might have reversed all the progress. The team looked sluggish against STL and better against SEA but both of those clubs aren't expected to finish in the top half of the table. RB Humphries should feature a bit more to help QB O'Neill but and give the stellar defense a rest but they need to keep the score close.
It's hard to tell how good the Sentries are from their two games against KCY and TUC, but QB Kelley's holdout really gums things up. QB Minton hasn't looked good and if not for the defense coming up with huge plays, CLE could easily be 0-2.
It's only two games but the Bombers are at least showing some improvement. S Leskun and DE Hitchcock are elite and I just don't see QB Minton getting much done. CLE's defenders are fantastic as well, but I can't expect them to score enough to make up for their offensive deficiencies. BAL squeaks this one out, 18-14.
Las Vegas at Death Valley (-3) - One look at the ticket count here and you can see a square dog brewing... LVS catching 80% of the bets but still only about 50% of the dollars means there's something going on here.
LVS put on a dominant shutout of DET last week but even then you could see their offensive line struggling: RB Gmerek was held to just 2ypc and QB McKnight was pressured more than he had been in a long while. OGs Blades and Kramer need to improve and quickly if the Rounders are to live up to the dynasty hype.
DVY also got a few softballs thrown their way to start 2061 but they look like the challengers they should've been if not for RB Donaldson's concussion in the postseason. GM Jander3456 worked some salary cap magic to keep their offense intact with QB Buckley, OG Dozier, and RB Donaldson all extending their stays. The Copperheads lost a few pieces on defense, but the new guys have performed well enough to fancy their chances at another winning season.
Both of these teams will be playing football in January but I like DVY in this matchup. LVS was able to slow RB Donaldson when they met last season, but I think they lack the size at linebacker with rookie LB Hargreaves starting at MLB. DTs McGee and Pierce have struggled with conditioning in seasons past and it doesn't seem like they've gotten much better at staying on the field so look for RB Donaldson to feast when lesser talent steps in. Death Valley improves to 3-0 on the season here: 27-21.
Some quick thoughts on yet more egregiously incorrect lines early on in the season...
Boston (-7) at El Paso - These two squads picked up quality wins in the season openers against ATL and DEN respectively, but this 7 point spread seems way too much. The team may be 1-0 under the new Blizzard moniker but can a new coat of paint erase the decade of suck (minus 2057) in the Northeast?
GM slimmikey's teams are always supremely talented but lacked the cohesion and chemistry of other winning franchises. That may have changed in 2061 as QB Klingbiel settles into his sixth season behind an offensive line that hasn't changed in the offseason. We saw the strength of a stable backfield and receiving corps last week against the Attack-- if this holds, the league is in for a shakeup.
The Rockets came out of the gates a bit slower against the Dynomite. QB Sullivan and El Paso struggled with turnovers but clutched up down the stretch as the much maligned RB Thurman Barker picked up 63 yards and 2 TDs in the second half to complete the comeback. There's only so much you can glean from one game but ELP's increased RB usage as a receiver adds another wrinkle to this aggressive offense.
All that to say, there's no way El Paso should be a +7 underdog at home. I do think Boston may have more talent pound for pound, but the Rockets at least know how to win. Give me the points and a small sprinkle on the moneyline, ELP wins this 28-24.
Omaha (-5) at Boise City - WR Dole and the Arrowheads looked a bit like themselves again against QB Ortiz and the Bulldogs but still came up short in the fourth quarter. An impressive 80 yard march down the field shut down any hope the Arrowheads had at breaking a 6 game losing streak against the runners up. Unfortunately, their schedule doesn't get any easier with a trip to another top tier opponent that had their run cut short by an injury to QB Doser.
If there's anything that OMA can be encouraged by, it's WR Marcus Dole's return to form. His recent injury woes have taken their toll on his athleticism and top end speed but he can make guys miss like no other. The bad stuff though... DUR's secondary is no joke but it seemed like they were able to disrupt OMA's passing attack all too easily. TE Duran saw 3 targets but it looked to me he was open on a few more plays than that. RB Johnstone gained just 22 yards on 7 attempts in the second half-- part of that was adjustments on the DUR side-- but I thought he could've done more. I'm not sure airing it out against CB Taylor, S Szczepaniak and the boys is the best plan of attack.
On the other side, BCI kicked off their season with a thorough beatdown of the Spartans. WRs Wagner and Brown looked unstoppable and CBs Kell and Cheli kept WRs Wojdylo and Hartsock bottled up on the other side. The team somehow keeps getting better and as long as QB Doser stays healthy I see them making a deep run this postseason.
The home team catching points here is just insane to me-- the Stampede are a real contender this year and should be treated as such. BCI improves to 2-0 this week, 33-26.
Detroit (-11) at Las Vegas - The bookies have turned on their own with this line... How exactly is this third year rookie QB favored on the road against the defending champs by even one point, never mind 11?
I don't think any analytics is necessary here. Take the points, take the moneyline, take out a mortgage to put it all on the Rounders.
I've updated the new team names and Logo's in game
to update go to;
Controls - Participants - Import Configuration.